deeply, question continuously, debate vigorously, read broadly, write boldly and never give up on a good idea. I - Test the I nference, or argument T - Test the T ruth of the R O - Construct the strongest imaginable O bjections, and respond to them Risk Perception Strategic Decision Making: General Insights, a New Framework, and Specific Application to Electricity Generation. Critical thinking calls for a persistent effort to examine any belief or supposed form of knowledge in the light of the evidence that supports it and the further conclusions to which it tends. This stolid template is comforting; we are familiar with. In Schwartz's estimation, choice has made us not freer but more paralyzed, not happier but more dissatisfied." Barry Schwartz: Using our practical wisdom - a TED talk (you may need to watch it on if TED videos are blocked) "In an intimate talk, Barry. Instead they use their intuition to recognize the essence of a given situation and to tell them what appropriate action to take. Only a small number of officers will develop into strategists of the first rank, but these are so important that the PME system must do as much as it can to encourage them to develop their talents to the maximum degree possible.
Buckminster Fuller If I had an hour to solve a problem and my life depended on the solution, I would spend the first 55 minutes determining the proper question to ask, for once I know the proper question, I could solve the problem in less. Constant reframing and assessment are necessary to identify this throughout planning and operations." "Another issue with wicked problems is that there are frequently multiple problems and issues within a problem set. In the everyday affairs of life it is more useful to reason forward, and so the other comes to be neglected. Wiki use needs to replace an existing work process, not add to work.
The research synthesizes a broad literature on innovation and provides a useful tool for assessing future military developments. Warren Bennis See John Boyd and the ooda loop - especially the articles and briefings by Osinga See also intuition See also Creative Problem-Solving (CPS) process See also Innovation Adoption-Diffusion on Transformation of War page See also Innovation Adoption-Diffusion on csat Future Studies linkedin research paper page Global. Briefly reiterate the research problem or problems you are investigating and the methods you used to investigate them, then move quickly to describe the major findings of the study. The balance between Gladwell and Surowiecki should be lessons that all senior officers learn en route to becoming strategists. Lees Mistake: Learning from the Decision to Order Picketts Charge ( local copy ), by Gompert and Kugler, Defense Horizons number 54, Aug 2006 Custer in Cyberspace ( local copy ), by Gompert and Kugler, Defense Horizons number 51, Feb 2006 When conditions are complex. Identifies and assesses the key assumptions.
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